In my poll, I asked people to rate the significance of the six suggested factors and suggest any I’d missed. As you can see above, most thought that all but AI anxiety were significant factors. Many are, of course, interrelated; for example, the adoption of design methods and tools by other corporate functions makes Design’s offer to senior managers less distinctive and contributes to their focus shifting elsewhere.
Before I get to what I think is the dominant driver of Design’s discontents, here are some of the other factors people posited:
- Political and economic uncertainty
- A current low point in the technology-driven economic cycle
- Global competition from low-cost economies
- Decentralisation of design functions into business units
- The impact of remote working on creativity and culture
None of these were mentioned more than two or three times, however.
Design has not delivered
Even though today’s downturn came out on top, I was most struck by the volume of comments relating to what I called ‘Peaked: Boardroom interest in design has waned’. There were three times as many comments on this than any other factor. Here is a selection:
‘We haven’t delivered the expected value.’
‘Design leaders have failed to create the expected value for their function within the companies they joined over the past 10 years.’
‘Too much talking the talk and not enough walking the walk. Verbose justifications for samey designs were only ever going to go so far, both in the boardroom and the marketplace.’
‘Disillusionment with Design as a competitive advantage.’
‘Design thinking packaged creativity as a repeatable, staged process with guaranteed results. The reality of Design is much messier and unpredictable. From a management point of view, Design has promised a lot and often delivered relatively little.’
‘There was an over-investment in Design over the past decade and especially in the UX kind. This resulted in the devaluation of creativity and a focus on rigid processes. That led to a lack of “bigger picture” thinking and a focus on using design tools for incremental improvement – “we have to AB test it”. As companies failed to achieve a return on their design investment, they’ve laid off teams and pivoted to the shiny new toy of AI. Design needs to get back to creativity and to systems-wide approaches rather than rote processes and incremental changes in order to get back to having the impact that designers promised.’
‘A lot of Design just hasn’t delivered any meaningful impact for the cost organisations have had to shell out for it. There is a rife lack of competence in a vastly scaled sector that has largely failed to deliver. It’s more a question of where to put the $ than if Design as a competence is waning. Our impact waned. We are paying the price for this.’
‘Design has always confused itself between “styling, aesthetics & craft” with “Superior problem solving” aka Design Thinking. Until it resolves its purpose in business, it is not surprising that the boardroom isn’t interested. MBA students are taught a similar helicopter view across all areas of business management, but they maintain their value by using that as diverse inputs to multifaceted leadership. Rather than reverting to focusing on the craft of any one specific area.’
‘By definition, Design is a team sport involving multiple disciplines. As we’ve evolved our thinking to broaden our impact and influence across multiple touchpoints in pursuit of holistic experiences, we need to be willing to embrace the responsibilities and ownership that come with this. The challenge can be that other functions have already staked a solid claim (CMO. CXO, CIO etc.) It may be OK to be seen as simply enabling or defining the desired experiences. But we should be explicit about our intentions and ensure that we are clearly held accountable for driving the desired outcomes and business impact. Let’s not forget our roots; we need to maintain our optimism, or relentless desire to make things better, and our belief in a humane and inclusive approach, that respects the needs of the planet. We can’t achieve this if we act as consultants, we need to be in the dance, inside organisations and businesses, showing how and where we can add value. Finally, lets not be afraid to hold our heads up and be proud of what we stand for. Now more than ever, we need to have confidence in our ability to fuse deep system thinking, with informed intuition built on the back of creative foresight.’
‘Designers had a chance to show serious business impact, but their strengths have never been able to quantify their effect on ROI. So they flubbed it, and others took their tools. Design was a cool band, whose demo tape got blagged by a major label.’
Long story short: we haven’t focused enough on business value. Design has been devalued through oversimplification, and partly, as a result, business is unclear about how its competence is distinct from that of parallel functions. Finally, there has been too much emphasis on incremental improvement, over big-picture thinking and leadership.
Overreach
The Downturn is real. Most economies are slowing, if not in recession, and R&D budgets have been squeezed as many companies focus on cost-cutting and efficiency. However, those with any hint of grey hair will remember that Design boomed in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. Apple had just launched the iPhone and was riding high on the Jobs-Ive double act. Design Thinking was in the ascendancy when Tim Brown first spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2009. In 2010, The Economist held a conference in London called The Big Rethink: Redesigning Business. Its premise was that after the economic crisis, ‘Business leaders were casting around for new ideas…design thinking is offering itself up as one of the new ideas’. So, if Design still had a compelling commercial offer, we could be faring better against the economic headwinds.
At the time, along with Don Norman, Roberto Verganti, Gadi Amit and James Woudhuysen, I added some concerns of my own. As businesses raised their expectations of Design, I cautioned that: ‘design thinkers run the risk of overstretching – not having the knowledge or capabilities to deliver at this new level. To win and consolidate a more strategic role for Design, we need more than good stories. We need to raise our game.’
In addition, too many were complicit in devaluing Design under the flag of ‘democratising’ it, by framing design as a simple process that anyone could be quickly trained in. Design and design thinking were often used interchangeably. Indeed, everyone can cook and design, but chefs and professional designers tend to do it at levels that delight – or at least improve people’s experience or the performance of the business.
As I put it in 2010, ‘while explaining Design as an algorithm goes down well with managers, this pitch skips over the pivotal importance of talent and craft’ – and, I might have added judgement too.
Design gained more exposure to business leaders over the past 10 years; but, too often, it was sold as a simple mindset, process or set of tools. The more difficult task of explaining how Design delivers value across organisations – was neglected. Some designers also underestimated how creative and empathetic their colleagues in other functions were, as well as being quick studies. As a result, fairly straightforward methods, such as user research and journey mapping, were adopted widely outside Design – including by management consultancies. That was great for users and organisations, but many designers kicked themselves for putting these methods front and centre in how they communicated Design’s value.
Designers pride themselves on their empathy and curiosity, but are we always better at these things than non-designers? And have they been empathic enough with our colleagues in other functions and curious enough about how our organisations actually work and grow – and about what role your product and experience play in driving that growth?
As the comments from the poll above testify, too many designers drank the Kool-Aid and gladly dipped into the new bountiful design budgets and growth opportunities that followed. But, few paused to work out what was required to operate at this level, and to take the necessary steps to meet or at least manage expectations.
Seize the moment
Design evolves in fits and starts. In the 1990s, it adapted to global markets, digital tools and the mainstreaming of Design with the public. The 2000s brought experience design and mass internet use. Sustainability and designing with data came to the fore in the 2010s. Now, AI fluency is the latest skill designers are adding to their stack of capabilities as we adapt to new developments. Design has grown from an artisan cottage industry to an established business function over the last few decades by gradually integrating itself with business. I hope the current period of introspection will result in a new era of Designers with a more based understanding of their distinctive strengths and role in business.
Now is the time to reflect on and renew Design. The world has moved on; it’s the job of Design Leaders to develop and articulate Design’s new value proposition for the 2030s.